Posts

Thoughts in data science, time-series and R.

Subject ▸ article

SIR Model for Portugal - North Region

This post is just a placeholder to another post I’m maintaining in Rpubs since April, 11.

There I’m comparing the SIR Model (derived from Tim Churches) that I ran on April, 11, at least for now, with the real data available for the North region of Portugal during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Please follow this link for the SIR Model at RPubs.

MPA a novel cross-language API for time series analysis

We propose to meta-learn causal structures based on how fast a learner adapts to new distributions arising from sparse distributional changes, e.g. due to interventions, actions of agents and other sources of non-stationarities. We show that under this assumption, the correct causal structural choices lead to faster adaptation to modified distributions because the changes are concentrated in one or just a few mechanisms when the learned knowledge is modularized appropriately.

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tsmp: An R Package for Time Series with Matrix Profile

This article describes tsmp, an R package that implements the matrix profile concept for time series. The tsmp package is a toolkit that allows all-pairs similarity joins, motif, discords and chains discovery, semantic segmentation, etc. Here we describe how the tsmp package may be used by showing some of the use-cases from the original articles and evaluate the algorithm speed in the R environment. This package can be downloaded at https://CRAN.

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Predicting Blood Donations in a Tertiary Care Center Using Time Series Forecasting.

The current algorithm to support platelets stock management assumes that there are always sufficient whole blood donations (WBD) to produce the required amount of pooled platelets. Unfortunately, blood donation rate is uncertain so there is the need to backup pooled platelets productions with single-donor (apheresis) collections to compensate periods of low WBD. The aim of this work was to predict the daily number of WBD to a tertiary care center to preemptively account for a decrease of platelets production.

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